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Monday, November 02, 2009
It’s All About Attitude

Attitude makes all the difference—whether you’re a politician, an economist, or a trader. But you can’t take attitude to the bank to pay your credit card bill! And you can’t take headline GDP statistics to the mortgage company to rescue your home. The American public is starting to get more than mildly annoyed at those who tell them the economy is bouncing back.

For every economist or politician who tells you the recession is over, there are at least a dozen people who think we’re in the midst of a Depression.

For every Administration official who points to the success of the stimulus plan in creating jobs, there are many dozens of ordinary citizens in line at the unemployment office.
 
For every market analyst who debates whether this is a tradeable correction in a bull market rally, there are hundreds of retirees wondering how they will survive on their shrunken IRAs.

And for every pundit who proclaims that things are getting better, there is a University of Michigan or Conference Board survey of consumer sentiment that tells us people are growing more worried.

The Irony of the Stock Market

It’s ironic that the stock market seems to be faltering just when the economic statistics start turning up. Sort of reminds you how skeptical people were at the bottom last March, when the news was most gloomy just as the stock market rallied.

But there’s a big difference between an unexpected rally in the midst of universal gloom and an over-anticipated decline in the midst of slightly better economic statistics. In March people were willing to grasp at any sign of improvement. These days many people simply don’t want to believe things will get better.

In fact, they’re angry at the fact that banks are posting profits on the wallets of consumers who routinely pay 29.9 percent interest on their credit card balances. And they’re angry at the better earnings of companies that have shaved costs by cutting their jobs.

Americans can’t cheer a stock market rally that grows out of their misery. And they’re starting to applaud the comeuppance that Washington is giving to business executives.

Ordinary citizens are getting fed up with the free enterprise system that seems to leave them behind to pay the tax bill, while the bosses get bonuses.

The Greatest Loss

That is the greatest loss of this recession—the loss of respect for the only engine of growth that can bring us back to prosperity. 

It’s hard to blame the public. They feel they were suckered into buying the stocks that sent their hard-earned money go down the drain. They feel anger at those who took the rewards, while they, the American taxpayer, took all the risks. And they are bewildered that the market could rebound as it has, while they are still suffering.

Economists and politicians and market pundits discuss the statistics, the signs, the charts and the surveys—while families struggle to pay the bills and hang on to the house.

And now you’re wondering if they’ll go Christmas shopping and rescue the GDP for the fourth quarter? You truly must believe in Santa Claus!

What do you think consumers will do in the coming months? Join the conversation.



More Articles from Terry Savage
Comment on this article: It’s All About Attitude
Monday, November 02, 2009 at 7:23:56 PM    by Anonymous
If this were a free market economy the banks that needed to fail would be history and the recovery wouldn't be dragging along.
Thursday, November 05, 2009 at 9:52:43 PM    by Del Ojo Zafado
If people had paid attention instead of paying attention to many of these predatory investment advisors with their buy and hold strategies and no clue that average wage families were out of luck by 4 times the income level they needed to actually afford a home purchase was the signal that our economy was a house of cards, then they might be wondering how they are going to make up the 7-10% loss they have suffered since the beginning of 2005. That is a worthwhile measure. The peak we saw in OCT 2007 was just an illusion! We still have these unsavory for fee PLUS commissions on any really bad junk we can manage to sell you predators working in major investment firms. "This mix of the Russell Funds has consistently returned over 7% over the last 10 years" is like that phrase why didn't George Herbert go all the way to Bahgdad and finish the job. We don't hear those remarks any more but these brokers are still trying to suck money out of their less sophisticated clients with these mutual funds buy and hold strategies. They get those 12-b-1 fees and wghat ever else to sell this to clients who would be way better off in and ETF or similar strategy Closed end fund. The 14 perps apprehended th=is wek by the Us attorneys southern district 5 of which have already plead guilty is just the tip of the iceberg. FINRA has fielded complaints from some victims who were told by their brokerage complaints office that their broker did not necessarily have a fiduciary obligation to them. You are swimming with sharks if you are not sure of what measures to take then you are going to get eaten alive. The defined contribution retirement social security self directed plans would have been Karl Marx's utopian workers paradise fully realized. the workers owning the means of production. But then the greedy "basters" corrupted it all. Phony ratings agencies, phony guarantees of Govt Agency subordinated debt, phony CEO s who were too stupid to know what was actually going on.
Thursday, November 05, 2009 at 10:11:54 PM    by Del Ojo Zafado
Phony reassurances from the Goldman Sachs golden boy at Treasury and Ben the Dollar slayer continuing right up to the time of the Crammer rant to insist that the subprime mortgage slime creep was "reasonably well contained". A cartoon Character for president who could not even qualify to polish his father's boots. If you haven't figured it out by now it's all about energy and commodities themes with yield from now on. If you had bought the commodity currency bank RY when it yielded 6%, the BRPFF when it yielded 7.8%, ENY when it yielded 5.5%, ADM-pA when it yielded 9%, BP when it yielded 6.5%, MTP,KYE,AMJ,REP-A, CHK-D,GGN, HL-C, IRR,BCF,EP-C, RDS/B, SDRLF etc etc. When you get back to near even you still won't be even because of the asset inflation. You won' t be even but you will at least have something. A lot more than you are going to have staying in those lousy performing high fee mutual funds with trading restrictions and lots of profits after ten years for somebody other than the fund participants. It's not about attitude it is about wising up the chumps. Even FINRA understands that it is immoral to give a sucker back their money.
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Phony reassurances from the Goldman Sachs golden boy at Treasury and Ben the Dollar slayer continuing... Del Ojo Zafado


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